MBRecos recommends a forecast for the Santander League.
On this 12th matchday, Sevilla will receive one of the revelations of the league, Osasuna, at Sánchez Pizjuán. At the moment, the Andalusians are third, three points behind the leader with one game less, while the visitors are seventh, just 2 points away from the Champions positions and, what is more important, with half a save achieved in just 11 days.
First of all, I like the corners in favor of Osasuna. Those of Arrasate average 4.9 corner kicks in favor per match, while those of Lopetegui fit an average of 4.1 per match. In addition, the reds would give us the green over the 3.5 line in 9 of the 11 meetings they have played so far. In addition, in 7 of the 10 clashes played by Sevilla, 4 or more corners have been conceded. It may come out or not, but for all this, I think that this 2.70 fee is clearly unbalanced and there is clear value.
Secondly, it seems to me that we have value in the card market. Sevilla averages more cards per game than Osasuna (2.70 vs 2.55). In 7 of the 10 home matches this handicap would be successful, as well as in 7 of the 11 away matches. That is why I also see value in this pick in which we need the Sevillians to have the same or more cards than the Pamplonese.
