MBRecos recommends a forecast for the Santander League.
After the break for national teams, the league returns and Real Sociedad, which is in third position tied on points with the two first classified, receives a Mallorca that has had a great start to the season and that, despite having only added 4 of the last 15 points, is in the middle of the table with 11 points. Tranquility for the moment for the islanders, since they are closer to dollar positions (2 points) than the relegation zone (7 points).
I like several markets in this match in which it is presumed that the Basques are favorites and that for this reason and for their style of play they should carry the weight of the match. First of all, it seems to me that the possession line they offer us is affordable enough for the Donostiarras to overcome it. Sheriff's average 57.9% possession, while Luis Garcia's average 46.1%. It should be noted that Real usually exceeds this possession when facing teams from the theoretical low zone and who usually give prominence to the rival. In 5 of the 8 matches played they have achieved the "over" on the proposed line, against teams of similar profile to Mallorca. He has only failed to achieve that amount of possession against three rivals: Levante, Sevilla and Barcelona. In addition, of Mallorca's 8 matches it has given up more than 58.5% of possession against teams from the "high zone" in this statistic such as Real Madrid, Villarreal or Betis.
I also like the foul market in this match. The averages of both teams exceed the indicated foul line. On the one hand, there is Real Sociedad with 27.6 and, on the other, we have Mallorca with 29.1. In addition, we have 7 overs and 1 under in the matches of the Donostiarras, while in those of Mallorca we would have 5 overs and 3 unders. Another factor that adds value to this pick is that it is refereed by the referee Pablo González, who averages 31.2 fouls sanctioned per match in the 25 matches he has managed between the previous campaign and the present. His over/under balance from the 26.5 line is 19 overs and 6 unders.
I think there is clear value in these two forecasts and it is imperative to invest in them.
