MBRecos recommends a forecast for the Santander League.
The first match of matchday 12 will take place at the Martínez Valero Stadium in Elche and will face the Elche team against Real Madrid. Escribá occupy the fifteenth position, two points above relegation, while Real Madrid is second, with three points less than the leader and one game less.
We are going with two predictions in this match. On the one hand, in the Bet365 create bet option we select the more than 5.5 corners from visitors and the less than 5 cards from locals. The whites average 6.1 corners in favor and have exceeded this line 60% of the meetings. In addition, Elche averages 5.7 corners conceded per match. As for the cards, between last season and the current one the referee who directs the match, Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, has only taken out 5 cards to 2 teams in 24 matches. In addition, Elche has not been shown 5 cards in any match this season. The resulting quota 2 I think is attractive and that's why we're going with it.
On the other hand, I think that although the locals are favorites to carry more cards, I think that the handicap awarded is excessive and, therefore, we are going with the HA + 1 in cards. We need Real Madrid to have the same or more cards as Elche, but if they have 1 less they refund the bet. I consider that this bet at odds of 1.90 has enough value to try it. With this handicap, we would have 5 hits, 3 nulls and 2 misses in the Real Madrid matches and 5 hits, 3 nulls and 3 misses in the Elche matches. The percentage of hits with respect to failures is quite higher, so a quota close to the pair is also how to test it.
