MBRecos recommends a forecast for the Santander League.
A Cadiz that is in a relegation position will try to close the difference of 5 points that currently exist with the team that precedes it in the table. To do this, he must score against a Celta that is in the middle of the table and begins to think about attacking the dollar positions.
The change of coach at Cádiz has made him change his way of playing, both in attack and defense and that is why I like the market for fouls in this match. The Cadiz have considerably increased the number of fouls committed since Sergio is on the bench. With Álvaro Cervera they opted for a more passive defense, avoiding the entrances and prioritizing to endure and group. They have gone from averaging 11.5 fouls committed to 15 fouls sanctioned per match. In addition, of the 5 matches that Sergio has managed (3 in league and 2 in cup), in 4 of them they have committed more fouls than their rival. Only in his first match against Sporting de segunda división did he make fewer fouls than his rival. Specifically, only 1 less. That's why I like the forecast that he commits more fouls than Celta at par.
I also like the over 24,5 fouls. In the 5 matches of Cádiz with Sergio, the average of fouls per match is 29, with a balance of 4 overs and 1 under. In addition, he is facing a Celta whose shocks average 26 fouls with 15 overs and 8 unders over the proposed line in the 23 matches he has played this season in the league.
In short, I see value in both forecasts due to the change in the Andalusian game model.
